S4 search will take more than 200 days to complete

RandyC
RandyC
Joined: 18 Jan 05
Posts: 6,153
Credit: 111,139,797
RAC: 0

RE: RE: 60 days left as

Message 24672 in response to message 24671

Quote:
Quote:
60 days left as of May 2. That puts us borderline end of June/early July. If the current rate of decrease continues, I expect we will finish June 28-30 timeframe.

Going from you're previous post we have done 13.6 days work in last 10 days so without any further speed-up, by more users and/or more using optimised app we should finish in 45 days, 16 June.

Andy

As of May 7 (approx. noon UTC) we have 53.2 days left.

Let's see if we can be a little more scientific about these estimates.

10 days to do 13.6 days (of Einstein estimate) = ~.74
5 days to do 6.8 days = ~.74

53.2 * .74 = 39+ days

From May 7 this works out to approx. June 15. Very close to your guess. Probably even faster with more optimized crunchers every day.

I stand corrected.

Seti Classic Final Total: 11446 WU.

Honza
Honza
Joined: 10 Nov 04
Posts: 136
Credit: 3,332,354
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That's a good news - no doubt

That's a good news - no doubt about that.

The bad new is - there are no news (:- No oficial word on new WU types, on S5 analysis, on scheduler status, maximum daily quota etc.
I believe Einstein can do better. And we can make the progress even faster - but not with seeing "reached daily quota" every day...

...would like to be corrected if wrong (neglected some info).

Honza
Honza
Joined: 10 Nov 04
Posts: 136
Credit: 3,332,354
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There are some news on P's a

There are some news on P's a J' WUs, S5 data set, problem o MDQ and current effort on Einstein posted by Ben Owen - http://einsteinathome.org/goto/comment/29370

bloed_brot
bloed_brot
Joined: 5 Apr 05
Posts: 70
Credit: 91,124,558
RAC: 0

RE: That's a good news - no

Message 24675 in response to message 24673

Quote:

That's a good news - no doubt about that.

The bad new is - there are no news (:- No oficial word on new WU types, on S5 analysis, on scheduler status, maximum daily quota etc.
I believe Einstein can do better. And we can make the progress even faster - but not with seeing "reached daily quota" every day...

...would like to be corrected if wrong (neglected some info).

Seeing it with the lucky eye, the improvements Akos has contributed raised the efficiency of computers by about 5. That means metaphorically speaking, that Einstein@Home potentially has access to the fastest supercomputer in the world (apart from those military machines not listed). I guess, they are just completely overwhelmed by the sudden performance jump and now are trying frantically to piece together new official apps, infrastructure, scientific data and funding that scales to this newly discovered potential. So, I keep my hopes up that no news in this respect, means all focus on getting the backend up in shape for the new storm to unfold.

Just as a wild guess, Einstein is the most potent BOINC instance out there (yeah, yeah, c'mon SETI dudes - tell me off :-D )

Cheers
bb

:
your thoughts - the ways :: the knowledge - your space
:

MarkF
MarkF
Joined: 12 Apr 05
Posts: 393
Credit: 1,516,715
RAC: 0

I have been tracking the

I have been tracking the status S4 WU counters for the last five days:
1532842, 1484374, 1436825, 1387363, 1336391
If this trend continues we will run out of new work in 27 days.

Winterknight
Winterknight
Joined: 4 Jun 05
Posts: 1,281
Credit: 337,168,713
RAC: 506,994

Funny, with enhanced now the

Funny, with enhanced now the only game in town on Seti, and threats by some people how claim to have super duper amounts of computing power are now looking for a place where they can chase credits. Why hasn't the rate of progress on S4 increased, it is still at the same rate as I commented on the 2nd. If anything it has decreased slightly.

Andy

RandyC
RandyC
Joined: 18 Jan 05
Posts: 6,153
Credit: 111,139,797
RAC: 0

RE: Funny, with enhanced

Message 24678 in response to message 24677

Quote:

Funny, with enhanced now the only game in town on Seti, and threats by some people how claim to have super duper amounts of computing power are now looking for a place where they can chase credits. Why hasn't the rate of progress on S4 increased, it is still at the same rate as I commented on the 2nd. If anything it has decreased slightly.

Andy

As of this post, the status page shows 35.0 days left. Using the .74 correction factor (see my earlier post) this still works out to June 15...but edging closer to the 14th (35.0 * .74 = 25.9 = June 15th approximately)

[edit] BTW, my account shows 3500 credits pending. If this situation is typical of many of those using Akosf's apps, then THAT might be where the tie-up is.

Seti Classic Final Total: 11446 WU.

Honza
Honza
Joined: 10 Nov 04
Posts: 136
Credit: 3,332,354
RAC: 0

RE: [edit] BTW, my account

Message 24679 in response to message 24678

Quote:
[edit] BTW, my account shows 3500 credits pending. If this situation is typical of many of those using Akosf's apps, then THAT might be where the tie-up is.

Yup, got 220+ WUs pending from a single machine (not running Einstein at 100% at the time); have to wait for those with large cache size and oficial apps I guess...

MarkF
MarkF
Joined: 12 Apr 05
Posts: 393
Credit: 1,516,715
RAC: 0

My pending WU count has been

My pending WU count has been dropping slowly for about a week from a peak of about 1,100 WUs. This is consitent with the increasing 'valid last week' count from the Server Status page, it has gone from around 680,000 to 759,495 over the same period. The validated/new WU ratio seems to be hovering around two, strange.

MarkF
MarkF
Joined: 12 Apr 05
Posts: 393
Credit: 1,516,715
RAC: 0

I have been tracking the

I have been tracking the status S4 WU counters for the last ten days:
1532842, 1484374, 1436825, 1387363, 1336391, 1286103, 1237654, 1186583,
1132288, 1081776
linear projected end of new work 21.6258 days.

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